Monday, March 13, 2006

Oswalt for Hall

Trade from Busch to Rips. Team Outlook changes:

BUSCH LEAGUERS:

Billy Hall was good keeper to pick up. He gives HR and SB for $2, or extended to $7. He even gets a move up in the minor league draft, giving up a $31 great pitcher. He’ll have money to spend.

8 Players - $70 Will likely keep Benitez also: 9 Players - $100

Probable Keepers:
1) Garrett Atkins 3B 14-07 – an everyday Rockie is hard to pass on, but only had 13 HR, but did get 87 RBI and hit .287. He’s at value and has upside to hit .300 and more HR’s
2) Billy Hall 3B/SS - $2/06 – when did this guy learn to play, 15-15, another steal, but is a stretch to extend. Will have to be 3B, not good enough MI keeper for this team
3) Adam Everett SS 6-06 – only hit .248, but his 11 HR – 21 SB’s easily were worth his money
4) Brad Hawpe OF 14-07 – you have like a starting Rockie OF’er. Wasn’t great last year, hitting .262, 9 HR in 305 AB. Has 20 HR power and better BAve potential. But, could lose time to Ryan Shealy. Still should be keeper at $14
5) R. Langerhans OF 3-07 – He’ll at least be a platoon left fielder with Kelly Johnson or Matt Diaz. Should get 300+ AB’s, so will be worth $3
6) Aaron Harang P 1-06 – hard to complain about 211 innings, 11 wins, 3.83, 1.27 in Cinci. Jeff likes him, but I don’t see him being extended
7) Derek Lowe P 13-07 – not a stud, but solid year. 222 innings, 3.61, 1.25, 12 wins. And LA will be better, both offense and in bullpen
8) Ben Sheets P 17-06C – when not hurt last year, he pitched great. 10 wins, 3.33, 1.07 in 156 innings. Jeff’s not going to buy him out

Other Possible Keepers:
1) Ricky Ledee OF 2-07 – with all the injuries in LA, he’ll get to play some. Is good for 7-10 HR if gets 200-250 AB’s
2) Bobby Abreu OF 40-06 – His #’s crashed in second half – 6 HR, 10 SB enroute to 24 HR and 31 SB. He could rebound, but isn’t a keeper at $40 again
3) Armando Benitez P 30-06 – he’s at value and should earn it. Jeff may keep, or could throw him back as so many closers available, there’s no real upside to keep
4) Oliver Perez P 3-06 – a true bust last year with his shoulder problems. Could be kept on potential and his 2004 stats, as he’s cheap

OLD RIPS:

I like Oswalt, but he’s no bargain at $31. It seems like there has to be someone out there to spend on for starters, rather then giving up a $2, cheap 3B who solidifies SB with some HR’s. With Lidge, didn’t need closer. So, could have spent $50 on 2 upper level guys to really set up the starters, with $$ to spare. Still, it solidifies his starting pitching. Look for Mark to pay big for a 3B – Rolen, Ensberg, Chipper. Then if keeps Glavine, will not spend much else on his other pitchers. Could also go for Pujols to really set up his HR and Bave.

9 players - $97

1) Yadier Molina C - $3/07 – starting catcher, who doesn’t suck. But, no bargain
2) Felipe Lopez SS - $2/07 - 20 HR-15 SB for $2 is a bargain
3) Chase Utley 2B– $13-07 - should have been a Peckler. Another 20+ -15 MI guy
4) Clint Barmes 2B - $13/06X - .330 / 15+ HR Colorado guy.
5) Jason Lane OF - $7/06 – should continue to improve, 20-25 HR, probably goes to $12/07C
6) Conor Jackson 1B – 5/F – will likely be starting in Arizona, has nothing left to prove in AAA
7) Brad Lidge Closer - $13/07C – one of best keeper values in league
8) Roy Oswalt SP - $31/07 – a star, true #1 starter
9) Matt Morris SP - $10/07 – Now in SF. He had a great recovery year. SF is good, but not as good as StLouis. Still should be keeper.

Other potential keepers:
1) Mike Cameron OF $19/07 – now in SD, so will hurt his HR’s, but still has SB potential. Though not worth $19 without the HR’s
2) Kylie Davies P $5/07F – currently #6 Atlanta starter. Will be good in future, but probably starts in the bullpen
3) Tom Glavine P $10/07 – old, but had solid year in NY. Should have better wins and protection after all the pickups by the Mets
4) Brandon Lyon Closer - $21/07 – looks like lost closer job to Valverde, so not a keeper unless declared he is the the closer.
5) Jose Capellan P – Farm – could make Brewer Bullpen. Has that 100 MPH fastball, and bad control

Written by Dr. Tailgate

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