Tuesday, February 07, 2006

Fast as a Speeding Locomotive

Like always, this is a tough category. Here are the guys that had 10+ SB’s last year that will be kept (likely) with price:

Reyes (15), Furcal (30), Rollins (27), freel (8), Taveras (19), Counsell (5), Bay (24), Everett (6), Hall (2), Wright (5F), Utley (13), Marcus Giles (15), Derrek Lee (34), Felipe Lopez (2), Weeks (5), Holliday (18), Floyd (26), Sullivan (2), Biggio (13), Werth (1), Burke (5)

Here are possible keepers with SB# and (price):

Abreu 31 ($40), Vizquel 24 ($17), Lofton 22 ($15), Ellison 14 ($1), Carlos Lee 13 ($38), Eckstein 11 ($11), Izturis 8 injured ($5), Brady Clark 10 ($10)

Here’s the draftable guys:

The One and Only:

Juan Pierre CHC – had 57, but now he’s with Dusty. Will he be allowed to run? Still the only guy with >30 SB for sure

20-30 steal guys (maybe more):

Alfonso Soriano WASH: 30-45 SB 4 of last 5 years, 30+ HR 3 of 4 years. Stud, will be costly. Won’t get as many HR’s going to Washington instead of Texas, but could get the SB’s

Tony Womack CIN – still a 20-30 SB guy (had 27 last year), but where will he hit could change things as Freel is also there

Dave Roberts SD – was a bust with only 24 last year. Should be cheaper, so still could get 20-30, but may not hit well enough to get 40

Randy Winn SF – should be 20-20 guy, will be bid up by the homers

Carlos Beltran NYM – never ran last year with hamstring, won’t obviously be $52. Could become 25-25 or better guy again. And lineup is better 10-20

Guys with upside:

Albert Pujols STL – 40 HR -15 SB ultimate 4 category guy will be $50

Aaron Rowand PHI – 15-15 guy with upside to be 20-20

Corey Patterson ?CHI – Looks like he’ll be in Baltimore, but should get 15-15, but didn’t last year. Probably gets bid up due to potential

Jacque Jones CHC – 20 HR – 10+ SB if Dusty lets him run

Mike Cameron SD – if healthy he’s a 20-20 guy with shitty Bave

Brian Giles SD – a disappointment in SD, can’t count on any # here, but could get 10-15 HR and SB, or more

Royce Clayton ARIZ – had 10 and 13 past 2 years, so cheap filler

So Taguchi STL – worth his $1-2, could get 5-10 SB if gets AB’s

SLEEPERS:

Hector Luna STL – could be starter, had 10 SB in 137 AB, could be 20+ if get’s AB’s instead of Aaron Miles or Spivey

Damien Jackson WASH – Injured 2004, otherwise has had 15-30 SB for the last 6 seasons. Had 15 in 275 AB 2005, 16 in 161 AB in 2003, 12 in 245 AB in 2002 and more the 3 prior years.

Eric Byrnes ARIZ – he was ugly for us and everyone last year, but still has 10-20 HR and 10+ SB potential as starter

Edgar Renteria ATL – was bad in Boston last year, so could drive his price down. Could return to 10 HR – 15+SB back in NL

ROOKIES:

Eric Reed FLA – Will take over for Pierre, had 40 SB in AA and AAA last year, will be given his chance to run. Not going to be invisible (remember Taveras)

Chris Young ARIZ – came from White Sox in Vazquez deal. In AA last year: .277 – 26 HR – 77 RBI – 32 SB. Nice numbers if stays and backs up Byrnes, otherwise think about it for the farm draft

Nate McLouth PIT – leadoff hitter, had 34 SB in AAA last year

Written by Dr. Tailgate

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