Tuesday, March 08, 2005

The Other Guys

Since I've got to work on "The Sheets", I'd better summarize the keeper situation for the other 5 teams I've avoided comment on.

All Tease Falkuhns:
  • Mike Lowell 23-05. No extension here. Larry's been trying to trade him with no luck.
  • Aaron Miles 10-06. Some services are predicting over 500 AB's. We'll see.
  • Jose Castillo 2-06. Should improve a little.
  • Termell Sledge 8-06. Not sure where he's going to play, but should get plenty of AB's.
  • Kent Benson 8-06. I don't like this guy, but he's worth $8 and has some upside.
  • Dan Kolb 6-05x. The only great bargain, worth 25+.
  • Toma Okha 2-06. A lot of upside here. Only keep him if his spring goes well.

There are a few others who are possible, icnluding Marlon Byrd 12-05, Ken Griffey 23-06, Yancey Brazoban 5-06x and Tony Torcato 1-06. We don't think they go for any more than these amounts, though if Griffey looks good in the spring, we'd think about it.

Any 9:

  • Adam Laroche 9-06. He's got good power.
  • David Wright 5-06F. I wonder if he's as good as he looked last year. And he DID look good!
  • Juan Pierre 31-05. Ken is considering extending him. He's actually had more steals than I realized - 47, 65 and 45 in the last 3 years, and had a strong 2nd half last year. My initial thought was no, but now I say yes to a .300+ hitter who may lead the league in steals.
  • Austin Kearns 15-05C. Not worth breaking the contract.
  • Craig Biggio 13-06. Replaced his speed with extra power last year. Reminiscent of Marquis Grissom. And he'll qualify at 2nd base somewhere along the way this year.
  • Moises Alou 21-06. He'll probably have less homeruns (though Rich Aurilia hit 37 at Pac Bell), but should have plenty of RBI's.
  • Todd Worrell 4-06. A good price if he gets no saves at all.
  • Jason Isringhausen 26-05. Signed a contract last week. Fair price for a decent closer on the best NL team.
  • Mike Adams 6-06x. Lucky bastard.

That's 9 players for 130, plus maybe 5 more for Pierre. Closser at 11, Edwin Jackson at 5, and Koplove at 3 are all possibilities I'd pass on. Gotta watch Closser, though. OK list, but Adams is the only bargain.

Bats:

  • Todd Greene 3-06. 10 homers 3 straight years. Not many AB's or RBI's, though.
  • Derek Lee 34-06. Not everyone would keep him, but he's a good candidate to hit 40 homers for the first time this season. Adds a few bags, and should have plenty of RBI's.
  • Aramis Ramirez 29-06. See Lee above, except the 40 homer remark. One thing about the two of them is that they both have 06, not 05 contracts.
  • Morgan Ensberg 3-05. Disappointing last year, but he didn't stink. I'd extend him to 8.
  • Marcus Giles 10-05. Another extension, to 15.
  • Alex Gonzalez (Fla) 1-05. And one more extension, to 6.
  • Jimmy Rollins 27-06. He's only 26, and this could be the breakout year. Steals are a bitch in the NL. And he's got an 06 contract. I'd be less likely to keep him if he was 05.
  • Rob Mackowiak 3-06. He loved this pick. Nice cheap player.
  • Mark Prior 15-05C. End of the contract.
  • Tom Glavine 8-06. I'd take my chance at that price, despite his bad 2nd half.

That's 135 for 10 players plus 15 more for 3 extensions. Barry's not going to be a big bidder in the auction, but he's got a lot of good players here. No closer, though.

Doyle Cartel:

  • Craig Wilson 9-05. I'd extend him if he qualified at catcher, but he's 1B/OF only now.
  • Todd Walker 9-06. No bargain, but he's a starter.
  • Jack Wilson 8-06. See Walker.
  • Miguel Cabera 10-05. Extend to 20. Superstar.
  • Tike Redman 15-05X. Worth it for the steals. Barely.
  • Josh Beckett 15-05C. Last year of contract.
  • Akinori Otsuka 2-06. Good price, good stuff, good park.
  • Joe Borowski 2-05. Must like him or must not think much of that #1 draft pick. Can't imagine he'll extend him. Well, I can't imagine that I'd extend him, but maybe Greg will.
  • Richie Weeks 05-F. If he makes the team.
That's only 70 for 8 plus 10 for Cabrera plus 5 for Weeks. I'd pass on Castillo at 27 (doesn't steal enough anymore) and Hamption and Hernandez. Branyan at 7 is a maybe, but they're pumping up Wes Helms in the news lately.

.300 Pounders:

  • Johnny Estrada 11-06. Some wouldn't keep him, but I think it's a no brainer.
  • Phil Nevin 6-05. Extend to 11, I guess.
  • Lyle Overbay 9-05. Gotta go to 14.
  • Geoff Jenkins 18-05. I wouldn't extend.
  • Brady Clark 10-06. Candidate to jump to 30 steals.
  • Jeff Weaver 8-06. Decent starter, decent price, good ballpark.
  • Carlos Zambrano 3-05. Gotta go to 8. Gotta consider 13, though I'd pass on any starter.
  • Julian Tavarez 1-06. Whacko, but no doubter.
  • Jerome Williams 5-05F, No extension, but he paid $132 for this guy.
  • Chris Burke 10-F. He's supposed to start. I'd keep him for sure at $5. Not so sure at $10.

If not Burke, there is Franco at $1, Gryboski at $1 and Alvarez at $3, all possibles. That's 71 for 9 plus 5 for Nevin and 5 for Overbay. Kevin is going to have some money at the table. And more if he throws Burke back and keeps one of the cheap guys.

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